inchide meniul
L-V 08:00 - 20:00 0371.781.781

War and Chance - Jeffrey A Friedman


117.25  Lei 137.94  Lei

sau 11725 de puncte. Detalii.

Livrare in 15 zile lucratoare

Cod: BRT9780190938024

An aparitie: 2019

Autor: Jeffrey A Friedman

Categoria: Politics

Editie: cartonata


Format: 243 x 170 x 22 mm

Limba: English

Nr. pagini: 248

Transport Gratuit peste 50 de lei
Puncte de fidelitate
30 de Zile Drept de Retur

Uncertainty surrounds every major decision in international politics. Yet there is almost always room for reasonable people to disagree about what that uncertainty entails. No one can reliably predict the outbreak of armed conflict, forecast economic recessions, anticipate terrorist attacks, or estimate the countless other risks that shape foreign policy choices. Many scholars and practitioners therefore believe that it is better to keep foreign policy debates
focused on the facts - that it is, at best, a waste of time to debate uncertain judgments that will often prove to be wrong.

In War and Chance, Jeffrey A. Friedman explains how avoiding the challenge of assessing uncertainty undermines foreign policy analysis and decision making. Drawing on an innovative combination of historical and experimental evidence, he shows that foreign policy analysts can assess uncertainty in a manner that is theoretically coherent, empirically meaningful, politically defensible, practically useful, and sometimes logically necessary for making sound choices. Each of these claims
contradicts widespread skepticism about the value of probabilistic reasoning in international affairs, and shows that placing greater emphasis on assessing uncertainty can improve nearly any foreign policy debate.

A clear-eyed examination of the logic, psychology, and politics of assessing uncertainty, War and Chance provides scholars and practitioners with new foundations for understanding one of the most controversial elements of foreign policy discourse.

Cartea War and Chance - Jeffrey A Friedman face parte din categoria Politics a librariei online si este scrisa de Jeffrey A Friedman.
Livrarea se face din stocul furnizorului nostru din UK in aproximativ 15 zile lucratoare. Transportul este gratuit prin curier rapid, oriunde in Romania, pentru orice comanda de minimum 50 de lei. Pentru orice solicitare sau informatie suplimentara apelati call center-ul Libris de luni pana vineri intre orele 8-20.

Feedback Wishlist